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Project results achieved by core members

Publications with scientific quality assurance

AGARWAL, A., Maheswaran, R.,Sehgal, V., Khosa, R., Sivakumar, B. and Bernhofer, C. (2016)a. Hydrologic regionalization using wavelet-based multiscale entropy method.Journal of Hydrology,538: 22-32.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.03.023.

AGARWAL, A., Maheswaran,R., Kurths, J.and Khosa, R. (2016b). Wavelet Spectrum and Self-Organizing Maps-Based Approach for Hydrologic Regionalization - a Case Study in the Western Unites States. Water Resources Management, 30: 4399–4413. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-016-1428-1.

AGARWAL, A., Marwan, N., Rathinasamy, M., Merz, B. and Kurths, J. (2017). Multi-scale event synchronization analysis for unravelling climate processes: A wavelet-based approach. Nonlinear Process. Geophys., 24(4): 599-611. doi.org/10.5194/npg-2017-19.

AGARWAL, A., Maheswaran, R., Marwan, N., Caesar, L. and Kurths, J. (2018a). Wavelet-based multiscale similarity measure for complex networks. The European Physical Journal B, 91: 296. https://doi.org/10.1140/epjb/e2018-90460-6.

AGARWAL, A.,Marwan, N., Maheswaran, R., Merz, B. and Kurths, J. (2018b). Quantifying the roles of single stations within homogeneous regions using complex network analysis. Journal of Hydrology, 563: 802-820. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.06.050.

AGARWAL, A.,Marwan, N., Rathinasamy, M.,OZTURK, U.,Merz, B. and Kurths, J. (2018c). Optimal Design of Hydrometric Station Networks Based on Complex Network Analysis. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24(5): 2235-2251.https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2018-113.

AGARWAL, A.,Caesar, L., Marwan, N., Maheswaran, R., Merz, B. and Kurths, J. (2019a). Network-based identification and characterization of teleconnections on different scales. Scientific Reports: 9:8808. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-45423-5.

AGARWAL, A.,Marwan, N., OZTURK, U. and Rathinasamy, M. (2019b). Unfolding Community Structure in Rainfall Network of Germany Using Complex Network-Based Approach. In Rathinasamy, M., Chandramouli, S., Phanindra, K. and Mahesh, U. (Eds.), Water Resources and Environmental Engineering II (pp 179-193). Springer, Singapore.https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-2038-5_17.

AGARWAL, A., Marwan, N., Maheswaran, R., OZTURK, U.,Kurths, J. and Merz, B. (2020). Optimal design of hydrometric station networks based on complex network analysis. 24(5): 2235–2251. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2235-2020.

AGARWAL, A., Guntu, R.K., BANERJEE, A., Gadhawe, M.A. and Marwan, N. (2022). A complex network approach to study the extreme precipitation patterns in a river basin. Chaos 32: 013113. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0072520.

ASAYESH, B.M., Hainzl, S. and Zöller, G. (2023). Depth-Dependent Aftershock Trigger Potential Revealed by 3D-ETAS Modeling. JGR Solid Earth, 128(6). https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JB026377.

ASAYESH, B.M., Zafarani, H., Hainzl, S. andSHARMA, S.(2023). Effects of large aftershocks on spatial aftershock forecasts during the 2017–2019 western Iran sequence. Geophysical Journal International, 232(1): 147-161. https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggac333.

ASAYESH, B. M., Hainzl, S. and Zöller, G. (2025). Improved aftershock forecasts using mainshock information in the framework of the ETAS model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 130(2). https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JB030287.

BANERJEE, A., Goswami, B., Hirata, Y., Eroglu, D., Merz, B., Kurths, J. and Marwan, N. (2021). Recurrence analysis of extreme event-like data. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 28(2): 213–229. https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-28-213-2021.

BANERJEE, A., Mishra A., Dana S. K., Hens C., Kapitaniak T., Kurths J. and Marwan N. (2022). Predicting the data structure prior to extreme events from passive observables using echo state network. Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics, 8. https://doi.org/10.3389/fams.2022.955044.

BANERJEE, A., KEMTER, M., Goswami, B., Merz, B., Kurths, J. and Marwan, N. (2023). Spatial coherence patterns of extreme winter precipitation in the U.S. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 152: 385–395. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-023-04393-5.

BASTOS MOROZ, C. and Thieken, A.H. (2024a). Urban growth and spatial segregation increase disaster risk: lessons learned from the 2023 disaster on the North Coast of São Paulo, Brazil. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24(9): 3299–3314. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3299-2024.

BASTOS MOROZ, C., SIEG, T. and Thieken, A.H. (2024b). Spatial constraints in cellular automata-based urban growth models: A systematic comparison of classifiers and input urban maps. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 110: 102118. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102118.

BERGHÄUSER, L., Bubeck, P., Hudson, P. and Thieken, A.H. (2023). Identifying and characterising individual flood precautionary behaviour dynamics from panel data. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2023: 103835. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.103835.

Bhuyan, K., Rana, K.,FERRER, J.V.,Cotton, F.,OZTURK, U., Catani, F. and Malik, N. (2024). Landslide topology uncovers failure movements.Nat Commun 15: 2633. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-46741-7.

BOESSENKOOL, B., Bürger, G. and Heistermann, M. (2017). Effects of sample size on estimation of rainfall extremes at high temperatures. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17 (9): 1623–1629. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1623-2017.

Bronstert, A., AGARWAL, A., BOESSENKOOL, B., Crisologo, I., FISCHER, M., Heistermann, M., Köhn-Reich, L., López-Tarazón, J.A., MORAN, T., OZTURK, U. and Reinhardt-Imjela, C. (2018). Forensic hydro-meteorological analysis of an extreme flash flood: The 2016-05-29 event in Braunsbach, SW Germany. Science of the Total Environment, 630: 977-991. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.02.241.

Bronstert, A., AGARWAL, A., BOESSENKOOL, B., FISCHER, M., Heistermann, M., Köhn-Reich, L., MORAN, T. and WENDI, D. (2017). Die Sturzflut von Braunsbach am 29. Mai 2016 – Entstehung, Ablauf und Schäden eines „Jahrhundertereignisses“. Teil 1: Meteorologische und hydrologische Analyse. Hydrologie & Wasserbewirtschaftung, 61(3): 150-162. https://doi.org/10.5675/HyWa_2017,3_1.

BRYANT, S.P., McGrath, H. and Boudreault, M. (2022a). Gridded flood depth estimates from satellite-derived inundations.  Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22(4): 1437–1450. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1437-2022.

BRYANT, S.P., Davies, E.G.R., Sol, D. and Davis, S. (2022b). The progression of flood risk in southern Alberta since the 2013 flood. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 15(3): e12811. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12811.

BRYANT, S., Kreibich, H. and Merz, B. (2023). Bias in Flood Hazard Grid Aggregation. Water Resources Research 59(9): e2023WR035100. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023WR035100.

BRYANT, S., Schumann, G., Apel, H., Kreibich, H. and Merz, B. (2024). Technical Note: Resolution enhancement of flood inundation grids. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28: 575–588. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-575-2024.

BRYANT, S., Reimer, J., Kreibich, H. and Merz, B. (2025). Aggregating flood damage functions: The peril of Jensen's gap. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 18(1): e13053. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.13053.

Bubeck, P., Klimmer, L. and Albrecht, J. (2016). Klimaanpassung in der rechtlichen Rahmensetzung des Bundes und Auswirkungen auf die Praxis im Raumordnungs-, Städtebau- und Wasserrecht. Natur und Recht, 38: 297–307. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10357-016-3003-1.

Caldas-Alvarez, A., Augenstein, M., Ayzel, G., Barfus, K., Cherian, R., Dillenardt, L., Fauer, F., Feldmann, H., Heistermann, M., Karwat, A., Kaspar, F., Kreibich, H., Lucio-Eceiza, E.E., Meredith, E.P., Mohr, S., Niermann, D., Pfahl, S., Ruff, F., Rust, H.W., SCHOPPA, L., Schwitalla, T., Steidl, S., Thieken, A.H., Tradowsky, J.S., Wulfmeyer, V. and Quaas, J. (2022). Meteorological, impact and climate perspectives of the 29 June 2017 heavy precipitation event in the Berlin metropolitan area. Natural Hazards., Earth System Sciences, 22(11): 3701-3724. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3701-2022.

Chaudhary, S.,AGARWAL, A.and Nakamura, T. (2019). Rainfall Projection in Yamuna River Basin, India, Using Statistical Downscaling. In Rathinasamy, M., Chandramouli, S., Phanindra, K. and Mahesh, U. (Eds.), Water Resources and Environmental Engineering II (pp 15-23). Springer, Singapore.https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-2038-5_2.

Cheung, K.K.W. andOZTURK, U.(2020). Synchronization of extreme rainfall during the Australian summer monsoon: Complex network perspectives. Chaos, 30: 063117.https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5144150.

Dietze, M. and OZTURK, U. (2021). A flood of disaster response challenges. Science, 373(6561): 1317-1318. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abm0617.

Dietze, M., Bell, R., OZTURK, U., Cook, K.L., Andermann, C., Beer, A.R., Damm, B., Lucia, A., Fauer, F. S., Nissen, K.M., SIEG, T. and Thieken, A.H. (2022). More than heavy rain turning into fast-flowing water – a landscape perspective on the 2021 Eifel floods. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22(6): 1845–1856. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1845-2022.

Dittes, B., Špacková, O., SCHOPPA, L. and Straub, D. (2018). Managing uncertainty in flood protection planning with climate projections. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22(4): 2511–2526. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2511-2018.

Ebrahimian, H., Jalayer, F., ASAYESH, B.M., Hainzl, S. and Zafarani, H. (2022). Improvements to seismicity forecasting based on a Bayesian spatio-temporal ETAS model. Scientific Reports 12: 20970. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-24080-1.

Eibl, E.P.S., Thordarson, T., Höskuldsson, A., Hersir, G.P., Gudnason, E., DIETRICH, T., Hersir, G.P. and Ágústsdóttir, T. (2023). Evolving Shallow conduit Revealed by Tremor and Vent Activity Observations during Episodic Lava Fountaining of the 2021 Geldingadalir Eruption, Iceland. Bulletin of Volcanology 85: 10. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00445-022-01622-z.

Eibl, E.P.S., Vogfjörð, K.S., Ófeigsson, B.G., Roberts, M.J., Bean, C.J., Jones, M.T., Bergsson, B.H., Heimann, S. and DIETRICH, T. (2023). Subaerial and subglacial seismic characteristics of the largest measured jökulhlaup from the eastern Skaftá cauldron, Iceland. Earth Surface Dynamics, 11(5): 933–959. https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-11-933-2023.

Ekhtiari, N.,AGARWAL, A.,Marwan, N.andDonner, R.V. (2019). Disentangling the multi-scale effects of sea-surface temperatures on global precipitation: A coupled networks approach. Chaos 29: 063116. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5095565.

Emmer, A., Allen, S.K., Carey, M., Frey, H., Huggel, C., Korup, O., Mergili, M., Sattar,A., VEH, G., Chen, T. Y., Cook, S.J., Correas-Gonzalez, M., Das, S., Moreno, A.D., Drenkhan, F., FISCHER, M., Immerzeel, W. W., Izagirre, E., Joshi, R.C., Kougkoulos, I., Knapp, R.K., Li, D., Majeed, U., Matti, S., Moulton, H., Nick, F., Piroton, V., Rashid, I., Reza, M., de Figueiredo, A.R., Riveros, C., Shrestha, F., Shrestha, M., Steiner, J., Walker-Crawford, N., Wood, J.L. and Yde, J.C. (2022). Progress and challenges in glacial lake outburst flood research (2017–2021): a research community perspective. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22(9): 3041–3061. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3041-2022.

ESFAHANI R.D.D., Askari, R. and Gholami, A. (2019). Sparsity-promoting method to estimate the dispersion curve of surface-wave group velocity. Geophysics, 84(1): 1JF-Z5. https://doi.org/10.1190/geo2018-0138.1.

ESFAHANI, R.D.D., Gholami, A. and Ohrnberger, M. (2020). An inexact augmented Lagrangian method for nonlinear dispersion curve inversion using Dix-type global linear approximation. Geophysics, 85(5): EN77-EN85. https://doi.org/10.1190/geo2019-0717.1.

ESFAHANI, R.D.D., Vogel, K., Cotton, F., Ohrnberger, M., Scherbaum, F. and Kriegerowski, M. (2021). Exploring the Dimensionality of GroundMotion Data by Applying Autoencoder Techniques. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (BSSA), 111 (3): 1563–1576. https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200285.

ESFAHANI, R.D.D., Cotton, F., Ohrnberger M. and Scherbaum, F. (2022). TFCGAN: Nonstationary Ground-Motion Simulation in the Time–Frequency Domain Using Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (CGAN) and Phase Retrieval Methods. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America(BSSA),113(1): 453–467. https://doi.org/10.1785/0120220068.

Fauer, F. S.,ULRICH, J., Jurado, O.E. and Rust, H.W. (2021). Flexible and Consistent Quantile estimation for intensity–duration–frequency curves. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25(12): 6479–6494. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-6479-2021.

Fekete, H., Kuramochi, T., Roelfsema, M., Elzen, M. den, Forsell, N., Höhne, N., LUNA, L., Hans, F., Sterl, S., Olivier, J., van Soest, H., Frank, S. and Gusti, M. (2021). A review of successful climate change mitigation policies in major emitting economies and the potential of global replication. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 137: 110602. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2020.110602.

FERRER, J. V., Mohor, G. S., Dewitte, O., Pánek, T., ReyesCarmona, C., Handwerger, A. L., Hürlimann, M., KOEHLER, L., Teshebaeva, K., Thieken, A.H., Tsou, C.-Y., Vinueza, A.U., Demurtas, V., Zhang, Y., Zhao, C., Marwan, N., Kurths, J. and Korup, O. (2024). Human Settlement Pressure Drives SlowMoving Landslide Exposure. Earth's Future, 12: e2024EF004830. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004830.

FIEDLER, B.,Hainzl, S., Zöller, G. and Holschneider, M. (2018a). Detection of Gutenberg–RichterbValue Changes in Earthquake Time Series. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 108(5A): 2778–2787. https://doi.org/10.1785/0120180091.

FIEDLER, B., Zöller, G., Holschneider, M. and Hainzl, S. (2018b). Multiplechange-point detection in spatio-temporal seismicity data. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 108(3A): 1147-1159. https://doi.org/10.1785/0120170236.

FISCHER, M.,Rust, H.W. and Ulbrich, U. (2018). Seasonal Cycle in German Daily Precipitation Extremes. MetZet, 27(1): 3-13. https://doi.org/10.1127/metz/2017/0845.

FISCHER, M., Rust, H.W. and Ulbrich, U. (2019). A spatial and seasonal climatology of extreme precipitation return-levels; A case study. Spatial Statistics, 34: 100275.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spasta.2017.11.007.

FISCHER, M., Korup, O., VEH, G. and Walz, A. (2021). Controls of outbursts of moraine-dammed lakes in the greater Himalayan region. The Cryosphere, 15(8): 4145–4163. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4145-2021.

FISCHER, M., Brettin, J., Roessner, S., Walz, A., Fort, M. and Korup, O. (2022). Rare flood scenarios for a rapidly growing high-mountain city: Pokhara, Nepal. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22(9): 3105–3123. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3105-2022.

FISCHER, M., Lehnigk, K., Lützow, N., Brettin, J., VEH, G., Larsen, I.J., Korup, O. and Walz, A. (2023). Himalayan hazard cascades – modern and medieval outburst floods in Pokhara, Nepal. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 48(6): 11135-1151. https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.5539.

Guo, Z.,FERRER J.V., Hürlimann, M., Medina, V, Puig-Polo, C., Yin, K. and Huang, D. (2023). Shallow landslide susceptibility assessment under future climate and land cover changes: A case study from southwest China. Geoscience Frontiers, 14(4): 101542. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsf.2023.101542.

Heidenreich, A., MURDOCK, H.J. and Thieken, A.H. (2025). Does Warning Performance Vary Between Administrative Districts and Across WatershEds for Rapid Onset Flood Events? A Case Study of the 2021 Flood in Germany. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 18: e70021. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.70021.

Hudson, P. and BERGHÄUSER, L. (2022). Investigating moral hazard and property-level flood resilience measures through panel data from Germany. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 84: 103480. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103480.

KEMTER, M., Merz, B., Marwan, N., Vorogushyn, S. and Blöschl, G. (2020). Joint trends in flood magnitudes and spatial extents across Europe. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(7). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087464.

KEMTER, M., FISCHER, M., LUNA, L.V., Schönfeldt, E., VOGEL, J., BANERJEE, A., Korup, O. and Thonicke, K. (2021). Cascading hazards in the aftermath of Australia's 2019/2020 black summer wildfires. Earth's Future, 9(3). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001884.

KEMTER, M.,Marwan, N., Villarini, G. and Merz, B. (2023). Controls on Flood Trends Across the United States. Water Resources Research, 59(2): e2021WR031673. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021WR031673.

Khawaja, A. M.,ASAYESH, B.M., Hainzl, S. and Schorlemmer, D. (2023). Towards improving the spatial testability of aftershock forecast models. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.,23(7): 2683-2696. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2683-2023.

Kim, D., Sun, Y.,WENDI, D., Jiang, Z., Liong, S. and Gourbesville, P. (2018). Flood Modelling Framework for Kuching City, Malaysia: Overcoming the Lack of Data, Gourbesville, P., Cunge, J., Caignaert, G. (Eds.) Advances in Hydroinformatics (pp 559-568). Springer Water. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-7218-5_39.

KOEHLER L., Masson, T., Koehler, S. and Kuhlicke, C. (2023). Better prepared but less resilient: the paradoxical impact of frequent flood experience on adaptive behavior and resilience. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23(8): 2787–2806. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2787-2023.

KOEHLER, L.and Han, S. (2024). The driving effect of experience: How perceived frequency of floods and feeling of loss of control are linked to household-level adaptation. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 112: 104745. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104745.

Korup, O.,LUNA, L.V.andFERRER, J.V.(2024). Size scaling of large landslides from incomplete inventories. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24(11): 3815–3832. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3815-2024.

Kurths, J.,AGARWAL A., Shukla, R., Marwan, N., Rathinasamy, M., Caesar, L., Krishnan, R. and Merz, B. (2019). Unravelling the spatial diversity of Indian precipitation teleconnections via a non-linear multi-scale approach. Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 26(3): 251–266. https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-26-251-2019.

LAUDAN, J., Rözer, V., SIEG, T., Vogel, K.andThieken, A.H. (2017). Damage assessment in Braunsbach 2016: data collection and analysis for an improved understanding of damaging processes during flash floods. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17(12): 2163–2179. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2163-2017.

LAUDAN, J.,Zöller, G. and Thieken, A.H. (2020). Flash floods versus river floods – a comparison of psychological impacts and implications for precautionary behavior. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20(4): 999-1023. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-999-2020.

Lengfeld, K, VOIT, P., Kaspar, F. and Heistermann, M. (2023). Brief communication: On the extremeness of the July 2021 precipitation event in western Germany.  Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23(3): 1227–1232. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1227-2023.

LIN, C.-R, von Specht, S., Ma, K.-F., Ohrnberger, M. and Cotton, F. (2025). Analysis of saturation effects of Distributed Acoustic Sensing and detection on signal clipping for strong motions. Geophysical Journal International, 241(2): 971–985. https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggaf089.

Lobera, G., Batalla, R.J., Vericat, D.,López-Tarazón, J.A. and Tena, A. (2016). Sediment transport in two Mediterranean regulated rivers. Science of the Total Environment, 540,101-113.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.08.018.

LUNA, L. and Korup, O. (2022). Seasonal landslide activity lags annual precipitation pattern in the Pacific Northwest. Geophysical Research Letters, e2022GL098506. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL098506.

Ma, K.-F., von SPECHT, S., Kuo, L.-W., Huang, H.-H., LIN, C.-R., Lin, C.-J., Ku, C.-S., Wu, E.-S., Wang, C.-Y., Chang, W.-Y. and Jousset, P. (2024). Broad-band strain amplification in an asymmetric fault zone observed from borehole optical fiber and core. Communications Earth & Environment, 5: 402. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01558-6.

Meng, J., Fan, J., Ludescher, J., AGARWAL, A., Chen, X., Bunde, A., Kurths, J. and Schellnhuber, H.J. (2019). Complexity based approach for El Niño magnitude forecasting before the spring predictability barrier. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(1): 177-183. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1917007117.

Mester, B., Vogt, T.,BRYANT, S., Otto, C., Frieler, K. and Schewe, J. (2023). Human displacements from Tropical Cyclone Idai attributable to climate change. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23(11): 3467–3485. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3467-2023.

Metz, M.,ASAYESH, B.M., Mohseni Aref, M., Jamalreyhani, M., Buyukakpinar, P. and Dahm, T. (2023). July-December 2022 earthquake sequence in the southeastern Fars arc of Zagros mountains, Iran.Seismica,2(2). https://doi.org/10.26443/seismica.v2i2.953.

OZTURK U.,Marwan N., Korup O., Saito H.,AGARWAL A.,Grossman M.J., Zaiki M. and Kurths J. (2018a). Complex networks for tracking extreme rainfall during typhoons. Chaos, 28(7): 075301. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5004480.

OZTURK, U., Marwan, N., von SPECHT, S., Korup, O. and Jensen, J. (2018b). A new centennial sea-level record for Antalya, eastern Mediterranean. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 123(7): 4503–4517. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JC013906.

OZTURK U., WENDI D., Crisologo I., Riemer A., AGARWAL, A., Vogel, K., López-Tarazón A. J. and Korup O. (2018c). Rare flash floods and debris flows in southern Germany. Science of the Total Environment, 626: 941-952. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.01.172.

OZTURK U., Malik N., Cheung K., Marwan, N. and Kurths J. (2019). A network-based comparative study of extreme tropical and frontal storm rainfall over Japan. Climate Dynamics, 53: 521-532. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4597-1.

OZTURK, U., Pittore, M., Behling, R., Roessner, S., Andreani, L. and Korup, O. (2020). How robust are landslide susceptibility estimates? Landslides, 18: 681-695. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-020-01485-5.

Paton, E.N., VOGEL, J., Kluge, B. and Nehls, T. (2021). Ausmaß, Trends und Extrema von Dürren im urbanen Raum - Extent, trend and extremes of droughts in urban areas. Hydrologie & Wasserbewirtschaftung, 65: 5–16. https://doi.org/10.5675/HyWa_2021.1_1.

Patton, A.I., LUNA, L.V., Roering, J.J., Jacobs, A., Korup, O. and Mirus, B.B. (2023). Landslide initiation thresholds in data sparse regions: Application to landslide early warning criteria in Sitka, Alaska, USA. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23(10): 3261–3284. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-25.

PETER, M., Rust, H.W. and Ulbrich, U. (2024). Interannual Variations in the Seasonal Cycle of Extreme Precipitation in Germany and the Response to Climate Change. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24(4): 1261-1285. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1261-2024.

Piña-Valdés, J., Socquet, A., Cotton, F. and von SPECHT, S.(2018). Spatio-temporal variations of ground motion in northern Chile before and after the 2014 Mw 8.1 Iquique megathrust event. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 108(2): 801-814. https://doi.org/10.1785/0120170052.

Powali, D.,SHARMA, S., Mandal, R. and Mitra, S. (2020). A reappraisal of the 2005 Kashmir (Mw 7.6)earthquake and its aftershocks: Seismotectonics of NW Himalaya. Tectonophysics, 789: 228501.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2020.228501.

ROTTLER, E., Kormann, C., Francke, T. and Bronstert, A. (2019). Elevation-dependent warming in the Swiss Alps 1981–2017: Features, forcings and feedbacks. Int J Climatol, 39(5): 2556-2568. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5970.

ROTTLER, E., Francke, T., Bürger, G. and Bronstert, A. (2020). Long-term changes in Central European river discharge 1869 - 2016: Impact of changing snow covers, reservoir constructions and an intensified hydrological cycle. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24: 1721–1740.https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1721-2020.

ROTTLER, E., Bronstert, A., Bürger, G. and Rakovec, O. (2021a). Projected changes in Rhine River flood seasonality under global warming. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25(5): 2353–2371. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-2353-2021.

ROTTLER, E.,Vormoor, K., Francke, T. and Bronstert, A. (2021b). Hydro Explorer: An interactive web app to investigate changes in runoff timing and runoff seasonality all over the world, River Res Applic., 37(4): 544-554. https://doi.org/10.1002/rra.3772.

ROTTLER, E., Vormoor, K., Francke, T., Warscher, M., Strasser, U. and Bronstert, A. (2021c). Elevation-dependent compensation effects in snowmelt in the Rhine River Basin upstream gauge Basel. Hydrology Research, 52(2): 536-557. https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2021.092.

ROTTLER, E., Bronstert, A., Bürger, G. and Rakovec, O. (2023). Rhine flood stories: Spatio-temporal analysis of historic and projected flood genesis in the Rhine River basin. Hydrological Processes, 37(6): e14918. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.14918.

Scherbaum, F., Rosenzweig, S. and ESFAHANI, R.D.D., Mzhavanadze, N., Schwär, S., Müller, M. (2023). Novel representations of Traditional Georgian Vocal Music in Times of Online Access. In Tsurtsumia, R. and Jordania, J. (Eds.), Georgian Traditional Polyphony - Modern Trends and Development Perspectives(pp. 304-321). Ministry of Culture, Sports and Youth of Georgia, Anzor Erkomaishvili Folklore State Centre, and Tbilisi State Conservatoire, International Research Center for Traditional Polyphony.

SCHMIDT, L.K., Francke, T., ROTTLER, E., Blume, Th., Schöber, J. and Bronstert., A. (2022). Suspended sediment and discharge dynamics in a glaciated alpine environment: identifying crucial areas and time periods on several spatial and temporal scales in the Ötztal, Austria. Earth Surface Dynamics, 10(3): 653–669. https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-10-653-2022.

SCHMIDT, L.K., Francke, T., Grosse, P.M., Mayer, C. and Bronstert, A. (2023). Reconstructing five decades of sediment export from two glacierized high-alpine catchments in Tyrol, Austria, using nonparametric regression. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27(9): 1841–1863. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1841-2023.

SCHMIDT, L.K., Francke, T., Grosse, P. M. and Bronstert, A. (2024).Projecting sediment export from two highly glacierized alpine catchments under climate change: Exploring non-parametric regression as an analysis tool. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28(1): 139-161. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-139-2024.

SCHOPPA, L.,Disse, M. and Bachmair, S. (2020a). Evaluating the Performance of Random Forest for Large-Scale Flood Discharge Simulation. Journal of Hydrology, 590: 125531.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125531.

SCHOPPA, L., SIEG, T., Vogel, K., Zöller, G. and Kreibich, H. (2020b). Probabilistic Flood Loss Models for Companies. Water Resources Research, 56(9): e2020WR027649.https://doi.org/10.1029/2020WR027649.

SCHOPPA, L., Barendrecht, M., SIEG, T., Sairam, N. and Kreibich, H. (2022). Augmenting a socio-hydrological flood risk model for companies with process-oriented loss estimation. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 67(11): 1623-1639. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2022.2095207.

SCHOPPA, L., Barendrecht, M.H., Paprotny, D., Sairam, N., SIEG, T. and Kreibich, H. (2024). Projecting Flood Risk Dynamics for Effective Long-Term Adaptation. Earth’s Future, 12(3): e2022EF003258. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003258.

SHARMA, S., Hainzl, S., Zöeller, G. and Holschneider, M. (2020). Is Coulomb stress the best choice for aftershock forecasting? Journal of Geophysical Research, Solid Earth, 125(9):e2020JB019553.https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JB019553.

SHARMA, S., Hainzl, S. and Zöeller, G. (2023). Seismicity parameters dependence on mainshock-induced co-seismic stress. Geophysical Journal International, 235(1): 509-517. https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggad201.

Sharma, S., Mitra, S.,SHARMA, S., Priestley, K., Wanchoo, S. K., Powali, D. and Ali, L. (2020). A report on broadband seismological experiment in the Jammu and Kashmir Himalaya (JAKSNET). Seismological Research Letters, 91(3): 1915-1926.https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190389.

Shukla, R.,AGARWAL, A., Sachdeva, K., Kurths, J. and Joshi, P.K. (2018). Climate change perception: an analysis of climate change and risk perceptions among farmer types of Indian Western Himalayas. Climatic Change, 152: 103-119. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2314-z.

SIEG, T., Vogel, K., Merz, B. and Kreibich, H. (2017). Tree-based flood damage modelling of companies: Damage processes and model performance. Water Resources Research, 53(7): 6050-6068. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR020784.

SIEG, T., Vogel, K., Merz, B., Kreibich, H. (2019a). Seamless Estimation of Hydrometeorological Risk Across Spatial Scales. Earth‘s Future, 7(4): 574-581. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF001122.

SIEG, T., Schinko T., Vogel, K., Mechler R., Merz B. and Kreibich H. (2019b). Integrated Assessment of short-term direct and indirect economic Flood Impacts including Uncertainty Quantification. PLOS One, 14(4): e0212932. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0212932.

SIEG, T. and Thieken, A.H. (2022). Improving Flood Impact Estimations. Environmental Research Letters, 17: 064007. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6d6c.

SIEG, T., Kienzler, S., Rözer, V., Vogel, K., Rust, H., Bronstert, A., Kreibich, H., Merz, B. and Thieken, A.H. (2023). Toward an adequate level of detail in flood risk assessments. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 16(3): e12889. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12889.

SKALEVAG, A., Korup, O. and Bronstert, A. (2024). Inferring sediment-discharge event types in an Alpine catchment from sub-daily time series. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28(20): 4771–4796. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4771-2024.

Socquet, A., Valdez, J. P., Jara, J., Cotton, F., Walpersdorf, A., Cotte, N., von SPECHT, S., Ortega-Culaciati, F., Carrizo, D. and Norabuena, E. (2017). An 8 month slow slip event triggers progressive nucleation of the 2014 Chile megathrust. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(9): 4046-4053. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL073023.

Stirling, M.W., Abbott, E.R., Rood, D.H., McVerry, G.H., Abrahamson, N.A., Barrell, D.J.A., Huso, R., Litchfield, N.J., LUNA, L., Rhoades, D.A., Silvester, P., Van Dissen, R.J., Van Houtte, C. and Zondervan, A. (2021). First Use of Fragile Geologic Features to Set the Design Motions for a Major Existing Engineered Structure. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 111(5): 2673–2695.https://doi.org/10.1785/0120210026.

Sultana, Z., SIEG, T., Kellermann, P., Müller, M. and Kreibich, H. (2018). Assessment of Business Interruption of Flood-Affected Companies Using Random Forests. Water, 10(8): 1049. https://doi.org/10.3390/w10081049.

Sun, Y., WENDI, D., Kim, D. E. and Liong, S.-Y. (2016a). Technical note: Application of artificial neural networks in groundwater table forecasting; a case study in a Singapore swamp forest. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS), 20(4), 1405–1412. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-1405-2016.

Sun, Y., WENDI, D., Kim, D. E. and Liong, S.-Y. (2016b). Development and Application of an Integrated Hydrological Model for Singapore Freshwater Swamp Forest. Procedia Engineering, 154, 1002–1009. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2016.07.589.

Sun, Y., Kim, D.E., WENDI, D., Doan, D.C., Raghavan, S. V, Jiang, Z. and Liong, S.Y. (2018). Projected impacts of climate change on stream flow and groundwater of Nee Soon freshwater swamp forest, Singapore. Gardens’ Bulletin Singapore, 70, 175–190. https://doi.org/10.26492/gbs70(suppl.1).2018-09.

Thieken, A.H., Bubeck, P., Heidenreich, A., Von KEYSERLINGK, J., Dillenardt, L. and Otto, A. (2023). Performance of the flood warning system in Germany in July 2021 – insights from affected residents. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23(2): 973–990. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-973-2023.

ULRICH, J., Jurado, O.E., PETER, M.,Scheibel, M. and Rust, H.W. (2020). Estimating IDF Curves Consistently over Durations with Spatial Covariates. Water, 12(11): 3119.https://doi.org/10.3390/w12113119.

ULRICH, J., Fauer, F.S. and Rust, H.W. (2021). Modeling seasonal variations of extreme rainfall on different timescales in Germany. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25(12): 6133–6149. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-6133-2021.

VEH, G., Korup, O., Roessner, S. and Walz. A. (2018). Detecting Himalayan Glacial Lake Outburst Floods from Landsat time series. Remote Sensing of Environment, 207: 84-97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2017.12.025.

VEH, G.,Korup, O. and Walz, A. (2019a). Hazard from Himalayan glacier lake outburst floods. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117 (2): 907-912.https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1914898117.

VEH, G., Korup, O., von SPECHT, S., Roessner, S. and Walz, A. (2019b). Unchanged frequency of moraine-dammed glacial lake outburst floods in the Himalaya. Nature Climate Change, 9: 379–383. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0437-5.

VEH, G., Lützow, N., Tamm, J., LUNA, L.V., Hugonnet, R., Vogel, K., Geertsema, M., Clague, J.J. and Korup, O. (2023). Less extreme and earlier outbursts of ice-dammed lakes since 1900. Nature, 614: 701–707. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05642-9.

VOGEL, J.,Paton, E. and Aich, V. (2021a). Seasonal ecosystem vulnerability to climatic anomalies in the Mediterranean. Biogeosciences, 18(22): 5903–5927. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-5903-2021.

VOGEL, J., Paton, E.N., Aich, V. and Bronstert, A. (2021b). Increasing compound warm spells and droughts in the Mediterranean Basin. Weather and Climate Extremes,32: 100312. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100312.

VOGEL, J., Rivoire, P., Deidda, C., Rahimi, L., Sauter, C.A., Tschumi, E., van der Wiel, K., Zhang, T. and Zscheischler, J. (2021c). Identifying meteorological drivers of extreme impacts: an application to simulated crop yields. Earth Syst. Dynam., 12(1): 151–172.https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-151-2021.

VOGEL, J. (2022). Drivers of phenological changes in southern Europe. International Journal of Biometeorology, 66:1903-1914. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-022-02331-0.

Vogel, K., OZTURK, U., Riemer, A., LAUDAN, J., SIEG, T., WENDI, D., AGARWAL, A., Rözer, V., Korup, O., and Thieken, A.H. (2017). Die Sturzflut von Braunsbach am 29. Mai 2016 - Entstehung, Ablauf und Schäden eines “Jahrhundertereignisses”. Teil 2: Geomorphologische Prozesse und Schadensanalyse, Hydrologie & Wasserbewirtschaftung, 61(3): 163-175. https://doi.org/10.5675/HyWa_2017,3_2.

Vogel, K., Weise, L., Schröter, K. and Thieken, A.H. (2018). Identifying Driving Factors in Flood Damaging Processes Using Graphical Models. Water Resources Research, 54(11): 8864-8889. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR022858.

Vogel, K.,SIEG, T., VEH, G., FIEDLER, B., MORAN, T., PETER, M., ROTTLER, E. and Bronstert, A. (2024). Natural Hazards in a Changing World: Methods for Analyzing Trends and Nonlinear Changes. Earth’s Future, 12, e2023EF003553. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003553.

VOIT, P. and Heistermann, M. (2022). A new index to quantify the extremeness of precipitation across scales. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22(8): 2791–2805. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2791-2022.

VOIT, P.and Heistermann, M. (2024a). A downward-counterfactual analysis of flash floods in Germany. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24(6): 2147–2164. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2147-2024.

VOIT, P. and Heistermann, M. (2024b). Brief Communication: Stay local or go global? On the construction of plausible counterfactual scenarios to assess flash flood hazards. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discussions, 24(12): 4609–4615. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-119.

von KEYSERLINGK, J., de Hoop, M., Mayor, A.G., Dekker, S.C., Rietkerk, M. and Foerster, S. (2021). Resilience of vegetation to drought: studying the effect of grazing in a Mediterranean rangeland using satellite time series. Remote Sensing of Environment, 225: 112270.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2020.112270.

Von KEYSERLINGK, J., Thieken, A.H. and Paton, E.N. (2023). Approaches to assess land degradation risk: a synthesis. Ecology & Society, 28(1): 53. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-13951-280153.

von SPECHT, S., Heidbach, O., Cotton, F. and Zang, A. (2018). Uncertainty reduction of stress tensor inversion with data-driven catalogue selection. Geophysical Journal International, 214(3), 2250-2263. https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggy240.a

von SPECHT, S.(2019a). ICBM—Integrated Combined Baseline Modification: An Algorithm for Segmented Baseline Estimation.Seismological Research Letters, 91(1): 475–487. https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190134.

von SPECHT, S., OZTURK, U., VEH, G., Cotton, F. and Korup, O. (2019b). Effects of finite source rupture on landslide triggering: The 2016 /M_W / 7.1 Kumamoto earthquake. Solid Earth, 10(2): 463-486. https://doi.org/10.5194/se-10-463-2019.

von SPECHT, S.and Cotton, F. (2020). A Link between Machine Learning and Optimization in GroundMotion Model Development: Weighted MixedEffects Regression with DataDriven Probabilistic Earthquake Classification.Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 110(6): 2777–2800. https://doi.org/10.1785/0120190133.

Vorogushyn, S., Apel, H., KEMTER, M. and Thieken, A.H. (2022). Analyse der Hochwassergefährdung im Ahrtal unter Berücksichtigung historischer Hochwasser. Hydrologie & Wasserbewirtschaftung, 66(5): 244-254. https://doi.org/10.5675/HyWa_2022.5_2.

WASSMER, J., Merz, B. and Marwan, N. (2024). Resilience of transportation infrastructure networks to road failures.Chaos, 34: 013124. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0165839.

WENDI, D.,Liong, S.-Y., Sun, Y. and Doan, C. D. (2016). An innovative approach to improve SRTM DEM using multispectral imagery and artificial neural network. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (JAMES), 8(2), 691–702.  https://doi.org/10.1002/2015MS000536.

WENDI, D., Liong, S.-Y., Sun, Y. and Doan, D.C. (2017). An innovative approach to improve SRTM DEM using multispectral imagery and artificial neural network. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 8(2): 691–702. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015MS000536.

WENDI, D.andMarwan, N. (2018). Extended recurrence plot and quantification for noisy continuous dynamical systems. Chaos, 28(8): 085722. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5025485.  

WENDI, D., Marwan, N. and Merz, B. (2018). In Search of Determinism-Sensitive Region to Avoid Artefacts in Recurrence Plots. International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 28(1): 1850007. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0218127418500074.

WENDI, D., Merz, B. and Marwan, N. (2019). Assessing hydrograph similarity and rare runoff dynamics by cross recurrence plots. Water Resources Research, 55(6): 4704– 4726. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR024111.

Zang, A., O. Stephansson, L. Stenberg, K. Plenkers, von SPECHT, S. Milkereit, C. Schill, E., Kwiatek, G., Dresen, G., Zimmermann, G., Dahm, T. and Weber M. (2017). Hydraulic fracture monitoring in hard rock at 410 m depth with an advanced fluid-injection protocol and extensive sensor array. Geophys J Int., 208 (2): 790-813. https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggw430.

Other publications and published results

AGARWAL, A., BOESSENKOOL, B., FISCHER, M., Hahn, I., Köhn-Reich, L., LAUDAN, L., MORAN, T., OZTURK, U., Riemer, A., Rözer, V., SIEG, T., Vogel, K., WENDI, D., Bronstert, A. and Thieken, A.H. (2016). Die Sturzflut in Braunsbach, Mai 2016 - Eine Bestandsaufnahme und Ereignisbeschreibung. Taskforce im Rahmen des DFG-Graduiertenkollegs Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World an der Universität Potsdam. https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-394881.

AGARWAL, A. (2018). Unraveling spatio-temporal climatic patterns via multi-scale complex networks [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-42395.

ASAYESH, B. M., Hainzl, S., Tatar, M., Zöller, G. and Soltani Moghadam, S. (Under review). Reservoir related seismicity changes around the Gotvand Dam (South West of Iran). Tectonophysics.

ASAYESH, B.M. (2025). Towards Improved Aftershocks Forecasts: Insights from stress scalars, fault geometry, and statistical modelling. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-67378.

BANERJEE, A, (2022). Characterizing the spatio-temporal patterns of Extreme Events - from recurrence to prediction. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-55983.

BASTOS MOROZ, C., SIEG, T. and Thieken, A.H. (2023). Urban expansion and disaster exposure in the North Coast of São Paulo: A comparison between formal and informal settlements. In Proceedings of XXV Brazilian Symposium on Water Resources. https://anais.abrhidro.org.br/job.php?Job=15019.

BERGHÄUSER, L., SCHOPPA, L., ULRICH, J., Dillenardt, L., Jurado, O.E., PASSOW, Ch., Mohor, G.S., Seleem, O., Petrow, Th. and Thieken, A.H. (2021). Starkregen in Berlin: Meteorologische Ereignisrekonstruktion und Betroffenenbefragung. Bericht, 73 Seiten, Universitätsverlag der Universität Potsdam. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-50056.

BERGHÄUSER, L. (2024). Adaptation to flood risk over time – from quantification to prediction of adaptation behaviour of households living in flood-prone areas. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-66377.

Brell, M., Roessner, S., Dietze, M., Bell, R., Magnussen, S., Schreck, D., Jany, S., OZTURK, U., Merz, B. and Thieken, A.H. (2023): Eifel Flood 2021 – Airborne Laser Scanning (ALS) and Orthophoto Data. https://doi.org/10.5880/GFZ.1.4.2023.003.

Bronstert, A., AGARWAL, A., BOESSENKOOL, B., FISCHER, M., Heistermann, M., Köhn-Reich, L., MORAN, T. and WENDI, D. (2017). Die Sturzflut von Braunsbach am 29. Mai 2016: eine hydrologisch-forensische Ereignisanalyse. In: DWA, Fachgemeinschaft Hydrologische Wissenschaften (Ed.): Den Wandel messen – Wie gehen wir mit Nichtstationarität in der Hydrologie um? Beiträge zum Tag der Hydrologie am 23./24. März 2017 an der Universität Trier. Forum für Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung 38.17. Hennef: DWA, Fachgemeinschaft Hydrologische Wissenschaften. S. 59-62. https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11970/113290.

Bronstert, A., Bormann, H., Bürger, G., Haberlandt, U., Hattermann, F., Heistermann, M., Huang, S., Kolokotronis, V., Kundzewicz, Z., Menzel, L., Meon, G., Merz, B., Meuser, A., Paton, E.N. and Petrow, Th. (2016). Hochwasser und Sturzfluten an Flüssen in Deutschland. In: Brasseur, G.P., Jacob, D. and Schuck-Zöller, S. (Eds.): Klimawandel in Deutschland Entwicklung, Folgen, Risiken und Perspektiven (pp 87-101). Springer Verlag, ISBN: 978-3-662-50396-6 (Print) 978-3-662-50397-3 (Online).

BRYANT, S. (2024). Aggregation and Disaggregation in Flood Risk Models. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-65095.

ESFAHANI R., (2022). Time-dependent Monitoring of Near-surface and Ground Motion Modeling: Developing New Data Processing Approaches based on Music Information Retrieval (MIR) strategies. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-56767.

FERRER, J. V. (2024). Supplementary Data: Human settlement pressure drives slow-moving landslide exposure [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12549429.

FERRER, J. V. (2025). Large Landslide Exposure in Metropolitan Cities [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14871068.

FERRER, J.V., BASTOS MOROZ, C., Yüksel, S., Dewitte, O., Lebek, K., Kurths, J., Marwan, N. and Korup, O. (Under review). Exposure to large landslides in cities outpaces urban growth. Geophysical Research Letters.

FISCHER, M. (2022). Outburst Floods in the Greater Himalayas - From Regional Susceptibility to Local Hazard. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-56997.

KEMTER, M. (2022). River floods in a changing world. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-55856.

Kienzler, S., Kreibich, H., Müller, M., Pech, P. and Thieken, A.H. (2016). Assessment of flood loss model transferability considering changes in precaution of flood-affected residents in Germany. (E3S Web of Conferences; 7), 3rd European Conference on Flood Risk Management (FLOODRISK 2016) (Lyon, France 2016), 13002.https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20160713002.

KOEHLER; L. and Han, S. (2024). Taking the risk personally: how perceived flood experience relates to risk perception, sensed coping appraisal, and protective behaviour. EGU Blogs, Natural Hazards. https://blogs.egu.eu/divisions/nh/2024/09/16/taking-the-risk-personally-how-perceived-flood-experience-relates-to-risk-perception-sensed-coping-appraisal-and-protective-behaviour/.

LAUDAN, J. (2019). Changing susceptibility of flood-prone residents in Germany - mental coping and mitigation behaviour in the context of different flood types. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-43442.

LIN, C.-R., von Specht, S., Ma, K.-F., Ohrnberger, M. and Cotton, F. (2025). Seismic Recordings from Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS) at the Milun Campus of Donghua University during the 2022 Taitung Earthquake Sequence [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13318497.

LUNA, L. V., Arango-Carmona, M. I., VEH, G., Lewis, E., OZTURK, U. and Korup, O. (Preprint). Urban landslides triggered under similar rainfall intensities in cities globally. ESS Open Archive.https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.172745685.54713106/v1.

LUNA, L.V. (2023). Rainfall-triggered landslides: conditions, prediction, and warning. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-60092.

MORAN, T. (2019). Factors affecting the severity of European winter windstorms. [Doctoral dissertation, Freie Universität Berlin]. http://dx.doi.org/10.17169/refubium-29369.

OBERHAGEMANN L., Billing, M., Von Bloh, W., Drüke, M., Forrest, M., Bowring, S. P. K., Hetzer, J., Ribalaygua Batalla, J. and Thonicke, K. (Preprint). Sources of Uncertainty in the Global Fire Model SPITFIRE: Development of LPJmL-SPITFIRE1.9 and Directions for Future Improvements. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1914.

OBERHAGEMANN, L., Drüke, M., Von Bloh, W., Billing, M., Sakschewski, B., Rust, H. and Thonicke, K. (2022). The Impact of Terrain and Fire Duration on Boreal Fires in the LPJmL-SPITFIRE Fire-Enabled Dynamic Global Vegetation Model. Chapter 1 in Viegas, D.X. and Ribeiro, L.M. (Eds.) Advances in Forest Fire Research 2022, 405–410. https://doi.org/10.14195/978-989-26-2298-9_65.

OZTURK, U.(2018).Learning more to predict landslides.[Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-42643.

PASSOW, C. (2022). An Approach for the Classification of European Windstorms. [Doctoral dissertation, Freie Universität Berlin].http://dx.doi.org/10.17169/refubium-37498.

Rahimzadeh, S.,ASAYESH, B. M.,Mirzaei, N. and Pakzad, M. (Under review). The 23 and 24 January 2022 Tabriz (Northwestern Iran) small earthquakes: Seismological study and seismotectonic implication. Journal of Seismology.

Rathinasamy, M.,AGARWAL, A.,Parmar, V., Khosa, R. and Bairwa, A. (Preprint). Partial wavelet coherence analysis for understanding the standalone relationship between Indian Precipitation and Teleconnection patterns.arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.1702.06568.

ROTTLER, E. (2021). Transient merging of two Rhine flow regimes from climate change. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-51766.

SCHMIDT, L.K. (2023). Altered Hydrological and sediment dynamics in high-alpine areas – exploring the potential of machine-learning for estimating past and future change. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-62330.

SCHOPPA, L. (2023). Dynamics in the Flood Vulnerability of Companies. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-59242.

SCHOPPA, L., Kreibich H., SIEGT., Vogel K. and Zöller G. (2021). Developing multivariable probabilistic flood loss models for companies [Paper presentation]. FLOODrisk 2020 - 4th European Conference on Flood Risk Management, Online-Conference.https://doi.org/10.3311/floodrisk2020.11.12.

Schroeter, K., Luedtke, S., Vogel, K., Kreibich, H. and Merz, B. (2016). Tracing the value of data for flood loss modelling. In FLOODrisk 2016 - 3rd European Conference on Flood Risk Management.http://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20160705005.

SHARMA S. (2024). Integrated Approaches to Earthquake Forecasting: Insights from Coulomb Stress, Seismotectonics, and Aftershock Sequences. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-63612.

SIEG, T. (2019). Reliability of flood damage estimates across spatial scales. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-42616.

SIEG, T., Natho, S., Samprogna Mohor, G., SCHOPPA, L.andThieken, A.H. (2021). Schadensbericht zum Hochwasserereignis am 14.07.2021. Inoffizieller Bericht für die Landkreise Ahrweiler, Eifelkreis Bitburg-Prüm, Euskirchen, Heinsberg, Rhein-Erft-Kreis und die Städteregion Aachen.

SKALEVAG, A., Bronstert, A. and Korup, O. (Preprint). Freeze-thaw effects on daily sediment transport in an Alpine river. Water Resources Research. https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.172954185.59805811/v1.

TROJAND, A., Rust, H. and Ulbrich, U. (Preprint). Temporal dynamic vulnerability – Impact of antecedent events on residential building losses to wind storm events in Germany. EGUsphere. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1506.

ULRICH, J. (2022). Statistical Modeling of Extreme Precipitation on Different Timescales – Towards Consistent and More Efficient Use of Available Data. [Doctoral dissertation, Freie Universität Berlin]. http://dx.doi.org/10.17169/refubium-35793.

VEH, G. (2019). Outburst floods from moraine-dammed lakes in the Himalayas: Detection, frequency, and hazard. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam].https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-43607.

VOGEL, J. (2022). Seasonal variations in the ecological impacts of compound climate events.[Doctoral dissertation, Technische Universität Berlin]. https://doi.org/10.14279/depositonce-15250.

Vogel, K. (2017a). Learning Markov Blankets - Extending on a MAP Criterion for Bayesian Network Learning. In Safety, Reliability, Risk, Resilience and Sustainability of Structures and Infrastructure, 12th International Conference on Structural Safety & Reliability, Vienna, Austria, 6-10 August 2017, 2868-2877. ©2017 TU-Verlag Vienna. ISBN 978-3-903024-28-1.

Vogel, K., LAUDAN, J., SIEG, T., Rözer, V., Winter, B. and Thieken, A.H. (2017b). Data collection for a damage assessment after the flash flood in Braunsbach (Germany) in May 2016. GFZ Data Services. https://doi.org/10.5880/fidgeo.2017.015.

von KEYSERLINGK, J. (2021). Ecological resilience and the risk of land degradation in a dry Mediterranean rangeland. [Doctoral dissertation, Technische Universität Berlin]. https://doi.org/10.14279/depositonce-12496.

von SPECHT, S. (2019). Likelihood-based Optimization in Strong-motion Seismology. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5000267.

von SPECHT, S. and Ziebarth, M. J. (2024). Data-Optimized Oblique Mercator: A software package for optimal map projections (2.0.4). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13736128.

von SPECHT, S. and Ziebarth, M. J. (Preprint). The Data-Optimized Oblique Mercator Projection. IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing. https://doi.org/10.22541/au.172729879.99875355/v1.

WASSMER, J., BRYANT, S., Marwan, N and Merz, B. (Under review). Unveiling hidden risks in healthcare from flood-induced transportation disruption. Nature Communications Earth & Environment.

WENDI,D.(2019). Recurrence Plots and Quantification Analysis of Flood Runoff Dynamics. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-43191.

Xiaoxiang, G., Dung, V., VOIT, P., Merz, B., Heistermann, M. and Vorogushyn, S. (Preprint). The ability of a stochastic regional weather generator to reproduce heavy precipitation events across scales. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discussions. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-143.

Completed theses that have not yet been published

FERRER J. (2025). Exploring Global Exposure to Large Landslides: Learning from Spatial Patterns and Temporal Trends. [Unpublished doctoral dissertation]. University of Potsdam.

FIEDLER, T. (2019). Change-point detection for seismicity parameters. [Unpublished doctoral dissertation]. University of Potsdam.

PETER, M. (2025). Extreme Niederschläge in einer sich verändernden Welt - räumlich-zeitliche Resonanz auf saisonale Variationen und Klimawandel. [Unpublished doctoral dissertation]. Freie Universität Berlin.

VOIT, P. (2025). From Extreme Precipitation to Flash Floods - Advancing Hazard Assessment with Downward Counterfactual Scenarios. [Unpublished doctoral dissertation]. University of Potsdam.

 

Project results achieved associated members

Publications with scientific quality assurance

Abon, C.C., Kneis, D., Crisologo, I.,Bronstert, A., David, C.P.C. and Heistermann, M.(2016). Evaluating the potential of radar-based rainfall estimates for stream flow and flood simulation in the Philippines. Geomat. Nat. Haz. Risk, 7(4): 1390-1405.https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2015.1058862.

Arango-Carmona, M.I., MOROZ, C.B., FERRER, J.V., OBERHAGEMANN, L., Mohor, G.S., SKALEVAG, A. and Thieken, A.H. (2023). A multi-hazard perspective on the São Sebastião-SP event in February 2023: What made it a disaster. In Proceedings of XXV Brazilian Symposium on Water Resources (pp. 1-9). Retrieved from https://anais.abrhidro.org.br/job.php?Job=14954.

Arboleda-Zapata, M., Angelopoulos, M., Overduin, P.P., Grosse, G., Jones, B.M. and Tronicke, J. (2022a). Exploring the capabilities of electrical resistivity tomography to study subsea permafrost. The Cryosphere, 16(10): 4423–4445.https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4423-2022.

Arboleda-Zapata, M., Guillemoteau, J. and Tronicke, J. (2022b). A comprehensive workflow to analyze ensembles of globally inverted 2D electrical resistivity models. Journal of Applied Geophysics, 196: 104512. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jappgeo.2021.104512.

Arboleda-Zapata, M., Guillemoteau, J., Lucía, A., Eberle, J., Tronicke, J. and Korup, O. (2023). Tracing past extreme floods on an alluvial fan using geophysical surveying. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 48(15): 3273–3286. https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.5695.

Ayzel, G.,Heistermann, M. and Winterrath, T. (2019). Optical flow models as an open benchmark for radar-based precipitation nowcasting (rainymotion v0.1). Geosci. Model Dev., 12(4): 1387-1402. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-1387-2019.

Ayzel, G., Scheffer, T. and Heistermann, M. (2020). RainNet v1.0: a convolutional neural network for radar-based precipitation nowcasting. Geosci. Model Dev., 13(6): 2631–2644.https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-2631-2020.

Bello, C., Suarez, W., Drenkhan, F. and Vega-Jácome, F. (2023). Hydrological impacts of dam regulation for hydropower production: The case of Lake Sibinacocha, Southern Peru. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 46: 101319. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2023.101319.

Brill, F.,Passuni Pineda, S., Espichán Cuya, B. and Kreibich, H. (2020). A data-mining approach towards damage modelling forEl Niñoevents in Peru. Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk, 11(1): 1966-1990. https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2020.1818636.

Brill, F., Schlaffer, S., Martinis, S., Schröter, K. and Kreibich, H. (2021). Extrapolating Satellite-Based Flood Masks by One-Class Classification - A Test Case in Houston. Remote Sensing: 13(11): 2042. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13112042.

Bronstert, A.,Crisologo, I., Heistermann, M., Ozturk, U., Vogel, K.andWENDI, D.(2020). Flash-Floods: More Often, More Severe, More Damaging? An Analysis of Hydro-geo-environmental Conditions and Anthropogenic Impacts. In: Leal Filho, W., Nagy, G., Borga, M., Chávez Muñoz, P., Magnuszewski, A. (Eds.), Climate Change, Hazards and Adaptation Options. Climate Change Management. Springer, Cham.https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-37425-9_12.

Bubeck, P.,Kreibich, K., Penning-Rowsell, E., Botzen, W.J.W., de Moel, H. and Klijn, F. (2015). Explaining differences in flood management approaches in Europe and the USA – A comparative analysis. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 10(4): 436-445.https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12151.

Bubeck, P., Aerts, J.C.J.H., de Moel, H. and Kreibich, H. (2016). Preface: Flood-risk analysis and integrated management. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16(4): 1005-1010.https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1005-2016.

Bubeck, P., Otto, A. and Weichselgartner, J. (2017). Societal Impacts of Flood Hazards. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Natural Hazard Science.https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780199389407.013.281.

Bubeck, P. and Thieken, A. (2018a). What helps people recover from floods? Insights from a survey among flood-affected residents in Germany. Regional Environmental Change. 18: 287-296. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1200-y.

Bubeck, P., Botzen, W., LAUDAN, J., Aerts, J. and Thieken, A.H. (2018b). Insights into flood-coping appraisals of Protection Motivation Theory: Empirical evidence from Germany and France. Risk Analysis, 38(6): 1239-1257. https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.12938.

Bubeck, P., Hudson, P., Pham, M., Hagedoorn, L., Le, T., Brander, L., Tran, T., Haer, T., Wolf, S., Ickert, J., Dillenardt, L. and Lasage, R. (2019a). Strong roots, strong women: Women and ecosys-tem-based adaptation to flood risk in Central Vietnam. DKKV-Schriftenreihe 61, Bonn. (https://weadapt.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/123.pdf, last access: 10 March 2025)

Bubeck, P., Dillenardt, L., Alfieri, L., Feyen, L., Thieken, A.H. and Kellermann, P. (2019b). Global warming to increase flood risk on European railways. Climatic Change, 155: 19-36.https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02434-5.

Bubeck, P.,BERGHÄUSER, L., Hudson, P. and Thieken, A.H. (2020). Using Panel Data to Understand the Dynamics of Human Behavior in Response to Flooding. Risk Analysis, 40(11): 2340-2359. https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13548.

Bubeck, P.andThieken, A.H. (2021). Anpassung an den Klimawandel in Deutschland. In: Winkler, D. (Ed.) Klimawandel, Klimakrise, Klimakollaps (pp 41-65). Kohlhammer: Stuttgart. ISBN 978-3-17-038312-8.

Bubeck, P., Pham, M., Nguyen, T.N.A. and Hudson, P. (2024). Disaster risk reduction on stage: An empirical evaluation of community-based theatre as risk communication tool for coastal risk mitigation and ecosystem-based adaptation. Progress in Disaster Science, 22: 100323. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100323.

Calsamiglia, A., García-Comendador, J., Fortesa, J., López-Tarazón, J.A., Crema, S., Cavalli, M., Calvo-Cases, A. and Estrany, J. (2018). Effects of agricultural drainage systems on sediment connectivity in a small Mediterranean lowland catchment.Geomorphology, 318: 162-171. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2018.06.011.

Chinh, D.T., Bubeck, P., Dung, N.V. and Kreibich, H. (2016). The 2011 flood event in the Mekong Delta: preparedness, response, damage and recovery of private households and small businesses. Disasters, 40(4): 753-778.https://doi.org/10.1111/disa.12171.

Chopra, G., Unni, V.R., Venkatesan, P., Vallejo-Bernal, S.M., Marwan, N., Kurths, J. and Sujith, R.I. (2024). Community structure of tropics emerging from spatio-temporal variations in the Intertropical Convergence Zone dynamics. Scientific Reports 14: 24463. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-73872-0.

Crisologo, I., Warren, R.A., Mühlbauer, K. and Heistermann, M. (2018). Enhancing the consistency of spaceborne and ground-based radar comparisons by using beam blockage fraction as a quality filter. Atmos. Meas. Tech., 11(9): 5223-5236. https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-11-5223-2018.

Crisologo, I. and Heistermann, M.(2020). Using ground radar overlaps to verify the retrieval of calibration bias estimates from spaceborne platforms. Atmos. Meas. Tech., 13(2): 645–659. https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-2019-126.

de Souza, A.C.T., Ayzel, G. and Heistermann, M.(2020). Quantifying the location error of precipitation nowcasts. Adv. Met., 2020: 8841913. https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/8841913.

Deusdará-Leal, R.K., Cuartas, L.A., Zhang, R., Mohor, G.S., de Castro Carvalho, L.V., Nobre, C.A., Mendiondo, E.M., Broedel, E., Seluchi, M.E. and dos Santos Alvalá, R.C. (2020). Implications of the New Operational Rules for Cantareira Water System: Re-Reading the 2014-2016 Water Crisis. Journal of Water Resource and Protection, 12(4): 261-274. https://doi.org/10.4236/jwarp.2020.124016.

Di Baldassarre, G., Kreibich, H., Vorogushyn, S., Aerts, J.C.J.H., Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K., Barendrecht, M., Bates, P., Borga, M., Botzen, W.J.W., Bubeck, P., de Marchi, B., Llasat, C., Mazzoleni, M., Mondino, E., Mard, J., Petrucci, O., Scobolig, A., Viglione, A. and Ward, P. (2018). Hess Opinions: An interdisciplinary research agenda to explore the unintended consequences of structural flood protection. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22(11): 5629–5637. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5629-2018.

Didovets, I., Lobanova, A., Bronstert, A., Snizhko, S., Fox Maule, C.A. and Krysanova, V. (2017). Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in Three Representative Ukrainian Catchments Using Eco-Hydrological Modelling. Water 9(3): 204. https://doi.org/10.3390/w9030204.

Didovets⁠⁠, I.,Krysanova, V., Bürger, G., Snizhko, S., Balabukh, V. and Bronstert, A. (2019). Climate change impact on regional floods in the Carpathian region. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 22: 100590.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2019.01.002.

Estrany, J.,López-Tarazón, J.A.andSmith, H.G. (2016). Wildfire effects on suspended sediment delivery quantified using fallout radionuclide tracers in a Mediterranean catchment. Land Degradation and Development, 27(5): 1501-1512.https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.2462.

Farrag, M., Brill, F., Nguyen, D.V., Sairam, N., Schröter, K., Kreibich, H., Merz, B., de Brujin, K.M. and Vorogushyn, S. (2022). On the role of floodplain storage and hydrodynamic interactions in flood risk estimation. Hydrological Sciences Journal 67(4): 508-534. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2022.2030058.

Fatima, E., Kumar, R., Attinger, S., Kaluza, M., Rakovec, O., Rebmann, C., Rosolem, R., Oswald, S.E., Samaniego, L., Zacharias, S. and Schrön, M. (2024). Improved representation of soil moisture processes through incorporation of cosmic-ray neutron count measurements in a large-scale hydrologic model. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28(24): 5419–5441. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-5419-2024.

Fernández-Palomino, C.A., Hattermann, F., Krysanova, V., Lobanova, A., Vega-Jácome, F., Lavado, W., Santini, W., Aybar, C. and Bronstert, A. (2022). A Novel High-Resolution Gridded Precipitation Dataset for Peruvian and Ecuadorian WatershEds: Development and Hydrological Evaluation. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 23(3): 309-336. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0285.1.

Fernandez-Palomino, C. A., Hattermann, F. F., Krysanova, V., Vega-Jácome, F., Menz, C., Gleixner, S. and Bronstert, A. (2024). High-resolution climate projection dataset based on CMIP6 for Peru and Ecuador: BASD-CMIP6-PE. Scientific Data, 11: 34. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02863-z.

Fortesa, J., García-Comendador, J., Calsamiglia, A.,López-Tarazón, J.A., Latron, J., Alorda, B. and Estrany, J. (2019). Comparison of stage/discharge rating curves derived from different recording systems: consequences for streamflow data and water management in a Mediterranean island. Science of the Total Environment, 665: 968-981. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.02.158.

Francke, T., Baroni, G., Brosinsky, A., Foerster, S., López-Tarazón, J.A., Sommerer, E. and Bronstert, A. (2018a). What did really improve our mesoscale hydrological model? A multidimensional analysis based on real observations. Water Resources Research, 54(11): 8594-8612. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR022813.

Francke, T., Foerster, S., Brosinsky, A., Sommerer, E., López-Tarazón, J.A., Güntner, A., Batalla, R.J. and Bronstert, A. (2018b). Water and sediment fluxes in Mediterranean mountainous regions: Comprehensive dataset for hydro-sedimentological analyses and modelling in a mesoscale catchment (River Isábena, NE Spain). Earth System Science Data, 10(2): 1063-1075. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-1063-2018.

Gomez-Zapata, J.C., Parrado, C., Frimberger, T., Barragán-Ochoa, F., Brill, F., Büche, K., Krautblatter, M., Langbein, M., Pittore, M., Rosero-Velásquez, H., Schoepfer, E., Spahn, H. and Zapata-Tapia, C. (2021). Community Perception and Communication of Volcanic Risk from the Cotopaxi Volcano in Latacunga, Ecuador. Sustainability 13(4): 1714.https://doi.org/10.3390/su13041714.

Graf, L., Moreno-de-las-Heras, M., Ruiz, M., Calsamiglia, A., García-Comendador, J., Fortesa, J.,López-Tarazón, J.A.and Estrany, J. (2018). Accuracy Assessment of digital terrain model dataset sources for hydrogeomorphological modelling in small Mediterranean catchments.Remote sensing, 10(12): 2014. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs10122014.

Guzmán D.A., Mohor G.S.and Mendiondo E.M. (2020). Multi-Year Index-Based Insurance for Adapting Water Utility Companies to Hydrological Drought: Case Study of a Water Supply System of the Sao Paulo Metropolitan Region. Brazil.Water, 12(11): 2954.https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w12112954.

Guzman, D.A., Mohor, G.S. and Mendiondo, E.M. (2022). Multi-driver ensemble to evaluate the water utility business interruption cost induced by hydrological drought risk scenarios in Brazil. Urban Water Journal, 20(10): 1517-1531. http://doi.org/10.1080/1573062X.2022.2058564.

Hagedoorn, L.C.,Bubeck, P., Hudson, P., Brander, L.M.,Pham, M. and Lasage, R. (2021). Preferences of vulnerable social groups for ecosystem-based adaptation to flood risk in Central Vietnam. World Development, 148: 105650.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2021.105650.

Huang, B., Li, Y., Liu, Y., Hu, X.P., Zhao, W.W., and Cherubini, F. (2023a). A Simplified Multi-Model Statistical Approach for Predicting the Effects of Forest Management on Land Surface Temperature in Fennoscandia. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 332: 109362. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109362.

Huang, B., Li, Y., Zhang, X., Tan, C.P., Hu, X.P., and Cherubini, F. (2023b). Regional Temperature Response to Different Forest Development Stages in Fennoscandia Explored with a Regional Climate Model. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 354: 110083. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110083.

Hudson, P., Pham M. and Bubeck, P.(2019). An evaluation and monetary assessment of the impact of flooding on subjective well-being across genders in Vietnam. Climate and Development, 11(7): 623-637. https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2019.1579698.

Hudson, P., Hagedoorn, L. and Bubeck, P.(2020a). Potential Linkages Between Social Capital, Flood Risk Perceptions and Self-Efficacy. Int J Disaster Risk Sci. 11:251–262. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-020-00259-w.

Hudson, P., Thieken, A.H. and Bubeck, P.(2020b). The Challenges of Longitudinal Survey Datasets in the Natural Hazards Domain. Journal of Risk Research, 23(5): 642-663.https://doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2019.1617339.

Hudson, P.,Pham, M., Hagedoorn, L.C., Thieken, A.H., Lasage, R. and Bubeck, P.(2021). Selfstated recovery from flooding: Empirical results from a survey in Central Vietnam. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 14(1): e12680. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12680.

Hudson, P., Thieken, A.H. and Bubeck, P. (2022). A comparison of flood protective decision-making between German households and businesses. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 27(1): 5. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-021-09982-1.

Irkiso, A., Kuhwald, M., Thieken, A. and Chemura, A. (accepted). Application of DSSAT model to evaluate the effects of tillage methods on soil water balance during drought period. Modeling Earth Systems and Environment.

Jurado, O.E., ULRICH, J., Scheibel, M. and Rust, H.W. (2020). Evaluating the Performance of a Max-Stable Process for Estimating Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves. Water, 12 (12): 3314.https://doi.org/10.3390/w12123314.

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Ziebarth, M.J., von SPECHT, S., Heidbach, O., Cotton, F. and Anderson, J.G. (2020). Applying conservation of energy to estimate earthquake frequencies from strain rates and stresses. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 125(8): e2020JB020186.https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JB020186. Ziebarth, M. J. and von Specht, S. (2024). REHEATFUNQ (REgional HEAT-Flow Uncertainty and aNomaly Quantification) 2.0.1: a model for regional aggregate heat flow distributions and anomaly quantification. Geosci. Model Dev., 17(7): 2783–2828. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-2783-2024.

Ziebarth, M.J., Anderson, J.G.,von SPECHT, S., Heidbach, O. and Cotton, F. (2023). Revisiting the San Andreas heat flow paradox from the perspective of seismic efficiency and elastic power in Southern California. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 128(12), e2023JB027086. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JB027086.

Xoplaki, E., Ellsäßer, F., Grieger, J., Nissen, K.M., Pinto, J., Augenstein, M., Chen, T.-C., Feldmann,H., Friederichs, P., Gliksman, D., Goulier, L., Haustein, K., Heinke, J., Jach, L., Knutzen, F., Kollet,S., Luterbacher, J., Luther, N., Mohr, S., Mudersbach, C., Müller, C., Rousi, E., Simon, F., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Szemkus, S., Vallejo-Bernal,S.M., Vlachopoulos, O. and Wolf, F. (2025). Compound events in Germany in 2018: drivers and case studies. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25(2), 541-564. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-541-2025.

Other publications and published results

Antonio Fernandez-Palomino, C., Hattermann, F. F., Krysanova, V., Vega-Jácome, F., Lavado, W., Santini, W., Gutiérrez, R. R. and Bronstert, A. (Preprint). Pan-Peruvian simulation of present and projected future hydrological conditions using novel data products and CMIP6 climate projections. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4602668.

Brill, F. (2022). Applications of machine learning and open geospatial data in flood risk modelling. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-55594.

Bubeck, P., Kienzler, S., Dillenardt, L., Mohor, G.S., Thieken, A.H., Sauer, A., Neubert, M., Blazejczak, J. and Edler, D. (2020). Bewertung klimawandelgebundener Risiken: Schadenspotenziale und ökonomische Wirkung von Klimawandel und Anpassungsmaßnahmen. Abschlussbericht zum Vorhaben „Behördenkooperation Klimawandel und -anpassung“, Teil 1, Climate Change, 29/2020, Umweltbundesamt, 238 S. https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/publikationen/bewertung-klimawandelgebundener-risiken.

Cazzaniga, G., Vallejo-Bernal, S.M., Carmona, A.M., Pons, F.M.E.and Faranda,D. (2024). November 2024 floods in Colombia mostly exacerbated by human-driven climate change. ClimaMeter, Institut Pierre Simon Laplace, CNRS. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14187310.

Crisologo, I. (2019).Using spaceborne radar platforms to enhance the homogeneity of weather radar calibration. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-44570.

Ehlert, T. and Natho, S. (2017). Auenrenaturierung in Deutschland - Analyse zum Stand der Umsetzung einer bundesweiten Datenbank. Auenmagazin 12, 4-9 (https://www.auenzentrum-neuburg-ingolstadt.de/cms/upload/Dokumente/auenmagazin/AuenMagazin_12-2017_online.pdf , last access: 10.03.2025).

Irkiso, A., Münzel, S., Chemura, A. and Thieken, A. (Under review). Evaluating deficit irrigation and soil amendment as drought adaptation strategies. Irrigation and Drainage.

Irkiso, A.B. (2024). Drought monitoring and adaptation strategies in agriculture. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-67096.

Jurado de Larios, O.E. (2022). Extreme Rainfall Events: Incorporating Temporal and Spatial Dependence to Improve Statistical Models. [Doctoral dissertation, Freie Universität Berlin]. http://dx.doi.org/10.17169/refubium-36944.

Li, Y., Huang, B., Rechid, D., Hoffmann, P., Jach, L., Warrach-Sagi, K., Breil, M., Mooney, P.A., Tölle, M., Cardoso, R.M., and Rust, H.W. (Under review). Impacts of Deforestation on Drought Patterns Across Multiple Time Scales in Europe: Insights from LUCAS Regional Climate Models. Journal of Hydrology.

Luu, T., Thieken, A.H., Tran, T.T., Vo, T.V. and Bubeck, P. (Under review). Exploring the Influence of Different Types of Social Norms and Other Factors on Flood-adaptive Behaviour. Journal of Environmental Psychology.

Mtilatila, L.N.M. (2023). Climate change effects on drought, freshwater availability and hydro-power generation in an African environment – observations and projections for the Lake Malawi and Shire River Basins in Malawi. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-59929.

Petrow, Th.,Bronstert, A., Thieken, A.H. and Vogel, K.(Eds.) (2018). Book of Abstracts of the International Conference on Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World. Universität Potsdam (Publisher), 118 pages. https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-416613.

Petrow, Th.,Bronstert, A., Thieken, A.H. and Vogel, K. (Eds.) (2021).Book of Abstracts of the Second International Conference on Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World. Universität Potsdam. https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-416613.

Rözer, V. (2019). Pluvial flood loss to private households. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam].https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-42991.

Sairam, N., Buch, A., Zenker, M.-L., Dillenardt, L., Coenen, M., Thieken, A.H. and Jung-Sievers, C. (Preprint). Health-related Quality of Life and everyday functioning in the flood-affected population in Germany—A case study of the 2021 Floods in West Germany. ESS Open Archive. https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.172124856.68287944/v1.

Samprogna Mohor, G. (2022).Exploring the transferability of flood loss models across flood types. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-55714.

Seleem, O. (2023). Towards urban pluvial flood mapping using data-driven models. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-59813.

Stolle, A. (2018). Catastrophic Sediment Pulses in the Pokhara Valley, Nepal. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://publishup.uni-potsdam.de/opus4-ubp/frontdoor/deliver/index/docId/41334/file/stolle_diss.pdf.

Uieda, L., Tian, D., Leong, W.J., Toney, L., Schlitzer, W., Grund, M., Newton, T., Ziebarth, M., Jones, M. and Wessel, P. (2021). PyGMT: A Python interface for the Generic Mapping Tools (v0.3.0), Zenodo.https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4522136.

Vallejo-Bernal, S.M., Braun, T., Marwan, N. and Kurths, J. (Preprint). PIKART: A comprehensive global catalog of atmospheric rivers. Authorea. https://doi.org/10.22541/au.172124457.79023385/v1.

Xoplaki, E., Ellsäßer, F., Grieger, J., Nissen, K. M., Pinto, J., Augenstein, M., Chen, T.-C., Feldmann, H., Friederichs, P., Gliksman, D., Goulier, L., Haustein, K., Heinke, J., Jach, L., Knutzen, F., Kollet, S., Luterbacher, J., Luther, N., Mohr, S., Mudersbach, C., Müller, C., Rousi, E., Simon, F., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Szemkus, S., Vallejo-Bernal, S.M., Vlachopoulos, O. and Wolf, F. (Preprint). Compoundevents in Germany in 2018: drivers and case studies. EGUsphere. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1460.

Zali Z. (2023). Volcanic tremor analysis based on advanced signal processing concepts including music information retrieval (MIR) strategies. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-61086.

Zapata, M. (2023). Adapted inversion strategies for electrical resistivity data to explore layered near-surface environments. [Doctoral dissertation, University of Potsdam]. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-58135.

Ziebarth, M.J. (2022). FlotteKarte - a Python library for quick and versatile cartography based on PROJ4-string syntax and using Matplotlib, NumPy, and PyPROJ under the hood. GFZ Data Services. https://doi.org/10.5880/GFZ.2.6.2022.003.

Ziebarth, M.J. (2022). PDToolbox: A Python probability distribution toolbox. GFZ Data Services. https://doi.org/10.5880/GFZ.2.6.2022.002.

Ziebarth, M.J. (2023a). pybalonor: A package for the Bayesian analysis of the log-normal distribution in Python. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7896869.

Ziebarth, M.J. (2023b). REHEATFUNQ: A Python package for the inference of regional aggregate heat flow distributions and heat flow anomalies. GFZ Data Services. https://doi.org/10.5880/GFZ.2.6.2023.002.

Ziegler, M., Ziebarth, M.J. and Reiter, K. (2019a). Manual of the Python Script Apple PY v1.0, (WSM Technical Report; 19-01), Potsdam: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, 28 p. https://doi.org/10.2312/wsm.2019.001.

Ziegler, M., Ziebarth, M.J. and Reiter, K. (2019b). Python Script Apple PY, Potsdam: GFZ Data Services.https://doi.org/10.5880/wsm.2019.001.

Ziegler, M., Ziebarth, M. J. and Reiter, K. (2020a). Python Script Apple PY, Potsdam: GFZ Data Services. https://doi.org/10.5880/wsm.2020.002.

Ziegler, M., Ziebarth, M.J. and Reiter, K. (2020b). Manual of the Python Script Apple PY v1.3, (WSM Technical Report; 20-02), Potsdam: GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, 28 p. https://doi.org/10.48440/wsm.2020.002.

Completed theses that have not yet been published

Didovetz, I. (2019). Assessment of climate change impact on river runoff and extremes in Ukraine. [Unpublished doctoral dissertation]. University of Potsdam.

Li, Y. (2025).Investigating the Influence of Deforestation on Drought Across Multiple Time Scales. [Unpublished doctoral dissertation]. Freie Universität Berlin.

 

Project results generated by the Research Training Group

Publications with scientific quality assurance

Arango-Carmona, M.I., MOROZ, C.B., FERRER, J.V., OBERHAGEMANN, L., Mohor, G.S., SKALEVAG, A. and Thieken, A.H. (2023). A multi-hazard perspective on the São Sebastião-SP event in February 2023: What made it a disaster. In Proceedings of XXV Brazilian Symposium on Water Resources (pp. 1-9). Retrieved from https://anais.abrhidro.org.br/job.php?Job=14954.

Bronstert, A., AGARWAL, A., BOESSENKOOL, B., Crisologo, I., FISCHER, M., Heistermann, M., Köhn-Reich, L., López-Tarazón, J.A., MORAN, T., OZTURK, U. and Reinhardt-Imjela, C. (2018). Forensic hydro-meteorological analysis of an extreme flash flood: The 2016-05-29 event in Braunsbach, SW Germany, Science of the Total Environment, 630: 977-991. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.02.241.

Bronstert, A., AGARWAL, A., BOESSENKOOL, B., FISCHER, M., Heistermann, M., Köhn-Reich, L., MORAN, T. and WENDI, D. (2017). Die Sturzflut von Braunsbach am 29. Mai 2016 – Entstehung, Ablauf und Schäden eines „Jahrhundertereignisses“. Teil 1: Meteorologische und hydrologische Analyse, Hydrologie & Wasserbewirtschaftung, 61(3): 150-162. https://doi.org/10.5675/HyWa_2017,3_1.

Bronstert, A.,Crisologo, I., Heistermann, M., Ozturk, U., Vogel, K.andWENDI, D.(2020). Flash-Floods: More Often, More Severe, More Damaging? An Analysis of Hydro-geo-environmental Conditions and Anthropogenic Impacts. In: Leal Filho, W., Nagy, G., Borga, M., Chávez Muñoz, P., Magnuszewski, A. (Eds.), Climate Change, Hazards and Adaptation Options. Climate Change Management. Springer, Cham.https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-37425-9_12.

Dietze, M., Bell, R., OZTURK, U., Cook, K.L., Andermann, C., Beer, A.R., Damm, B., Lucia, A., Fauer, F. S., Nissen, K.M., SIEG, T. and Thieken, A.H. (2022). More than heavy rain turning into fast-flowing water – a landscape perspective on the 2021 Eifel floods, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22(6): 1845–1856. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1845-2022.

KEMTER, M., FISCHER, M., LUNA, L.V., Schönfeldt, E., VOGEL, J., BANERJEE, A., Korup, O. and Thonicke, K. (2021). Cascading hazards in the aftermath of Australia's 2019/2020 black summer wildfires, Earth's Future, 9(3). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001884.

LAUDAN, J., Rözer, V., SIEG, T., Vogel, K. andThieken, A.H. (2017). Damage assessment in Braunsbach 2016: data collection and analysis for an improved understanding of damaging processes during flash floods, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17(12): 2163–2179. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2163-2017.

OZTURK U., WENDI D., Crisologo I., Riemer A., AGARWAL, A., Vogel, K., López-Tarazón A. J. and Korup O. (2018c). Rare flash floods and debris flows in southern Germany, Science of the Total Environment, 626: 941-952. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.01.172.

SIEG, T., Kienzler, S., Rözer, V., Vogel, K., Rust, H., Bronstert, A., Kreibich, H., Merz, B. and Thieken, A.H. (2023). Toward an adequate level of detail in flood risk assessments. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 16(3): e12889. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12889.

Thieken, A.H., Bubeck, P., Heidenreich, A., Von KEYSERLINGK, J., Dillenardt, L. and Otto, A. (2023). Performance of the flood warning system in Germany in July 2021 – insights from affected residents. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23(2): 973–990. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-973-2023.

Vogel, K., OZTURK, U., Riemer, A., LAUDAN, J., SIEG, T., WENDI, D., AGARWAL, A., Rözer, V., Korup, O., and Thieken, A.H. (2017a). Die Sturzflut von Braunsbach am 29. Mai 2016 - Entstehung, Ablauf und Schäden eines “Jahrhundertereignisses”. Teil 2: Geomorphologische Prozesse und Schadensanalyse, Hydrologie & Wasserbewirtschaftung, 61(3): 163-175. https://doi.org/10.5675/HyWa_2017,3_2.

Vogel, K.,SIEG, T., VEH, G., FIEDLER, B., MORAN, T., PETER, M., ROTTLER, E. and Bronstert, A. (2024). Natural Hazards in a Changing World: Methods for Analyzing Trends and Nonlinear Changes. Earth’s Future, 12, e2023EF003553. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003553.

von SPECHT, S., OZTURK, U., VEH, G., Cotton, F. and Korup, O. (2019). Effects of finite source rupture on landslide triggering: The 2016 /M_W / 7.1 Kumamoto earthquake, Solid Earth, 10(2): 463-486. https://doi.org/10.5194/se-10-463-2019.

Other publications and published results

AGARWAL, A., BOESSENKOOL, B., FISCHER, M., Hahn, I., Köhn-Reich, L., LAUDAN, L., MORAN, T., OZTURK, U., Riemer, A., Rözer,V., SIEG, T., Vogel, K., WENDI, D., Bronstert, A. and Thieken, A.H. (2016). Die Sturzflut in Braunsbach, Mai 2016 - Eine Bestandsaufnahme und Ereignisbeschreibung. Taskforce im Rahmen des DFG-Graduiertenkollegs Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World an der Universität Potsdam [unpublished report].

BERGHÄUSER, L., SCHOPPA, L., ULRICH, J., Dillenardt, L., Jurado, O.E., Passow, Ch., Mohor, G.S., Seleem, O., Petrow, Th. and Thieken, A.H. (2021). Starkregen in Berlin: Meteorologische Ereignisrekonstruktion und Betroffenenbefragung, Bericht, 73 Seiten, Universitätsverlag der Universität Potsdam. https://doi.org/10.25932/publishup-50056.

Sieg, T., Natho, S., Samprogna Mohor, G., SCHOPPA, L.andThieken, A.H. (2021). Schadensbericht zum Hochwasserereignis am 14.07.2021, inoffizieller Bericht für die Landkreise Ahrweiler, Eifelkreis Bitburg-Prüm, Euskirchen, Heinsberg, Rhein-Erft-Kreis und die Städteregion Aachen.

Vogel, K., LAUDAN, J., SIEG, T., Rözer, V., Winter, B. and Thieken, A.H. (2017b). Data collection for a damage assessment after the flash flood in Braunsbach (Germany) in May 2016. GFZ Data Services. https://doi.org/10.5880/fidgeo.2017.015.